{"title":"Books by Jorgen Randers","description":null,"products":[{"product_id":"9781603584210","title":"2052","description":"\u003cb\u003eWith clarity, conscience, and courage, global-systems pioneer Jorgen Randers and his distinguished contributors map the forces that will shape the next four decades.\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eForty years ago, \u003ci\u003eThe Limits to Growth\u003c\/i\u003e study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic \"overshoot and collapse\"-or through well-managed \"peak and decline.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eSo, where are we now? And what does our future look like? In the book \u003ci\u003e2052\u003c\/i\u003e, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of \u003ci\u003eLimits to Growth\u003c\/i\u003e, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eThe good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens. Runaway global warming, too, is likely.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eSo, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.","brand":"Gardners","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":56305153245557,"sku":"9781603584210","price":20.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0612\/7193\/3106\/files\/9781603584210_42a9d5cf-bd79-468d-9ef1-126bd09e047f.jpg?v=1786023070"},{"product_id":"9781931498586","title":"Limits to Growth","description":"\u003cb\u003e“A pioneering work of science.”—\u003ci\u003eBusiness Insider\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003e“[This book] helped launch modern environmental computer modeling and began our current globally focused environmental debate . . . . a scientifically rigorous and credible warning.”—\u003ci\u003eThe Nation\u003c\/i\u003e \u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eIn 1972, three scientists from MIT created a computer model that analyzed global resource consumption and production. Their results shocked the world and created stirring conversation about global ‘overshoot,’ or resource use beyond the carrying capacity of the planet. Now, preeminent environmental scientists Donnella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows have teamed up again to update and expand their original findings in \u003ci\u003eThe Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Global Update\u003c\/i\u003e.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eMeadows, Randers, and Meadows are international environmental leaders recognized for their groundbreaking research into early signs of wear on the planet. Citing climate change as the most tangible example of our current overshoot, the scientists now provide us with an updated scenario and a plan to reduce our needs to meet the carrying capacity of the planet.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eOver the past three decades, population growth and global warming have forged on with a striking semblance to the scenarios laid out by the World3 computer model in the original \u003ci\u003eLimits to Growth\u003c\/i\u003e. While Meadows, Randers, and Meadows do not make a practice of predicting future environmental degradation, they offer an analysis of present and future trends in resource use, and assess a variety of possible outcomes.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eIn many ways, the message contained in \u003ci\u003eLimits to Growth: The 30-Year Update\u003c\/i\u003e is a warning. Overshoot cannot be sustained without collapse. But, as the authors are careful to point out, there is reason to believe that humanity can still reverse some of its damage to Earth if it takes appropriate measures to reduce inefficiency and waste.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWritten in refreshingly accessible prose, \u003ci\u003eLimits to Growth: The 30-Year Update\u003c\/i\u003e is a long anticipated revival of some of the original voices in the growing chorus of sustainability. \u003ci\u003eLimits to Growth: The 30 Year Update\u003c\/i\u003e is \u003cb\u003ea work of stunning intelligence that will expose for humanity the hazy but critical line between human growth and human development.\u003c\/b\u003e","brand":"Gardners","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":56309638562165,"sku":"9781931498586","price":16.99,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0612\/7193\/3106\/files\/9781931498586_f1ee9d10-a753-4d14-b67a-053102d0f47c.jpg?v=1786035044"},{"product_id":"9780865719866","title":"Earth for All","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eThe economic operating system keeps crashing. It's time to upgrade to a new one.\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eFive decades ago, \u003cem\u003eThe Limits to Growth \u003c\/em\u003eshocked the world by showing that population and industrial growth were pushing humanity towards a cliff. Today the world recognizes that we are now at the cliff edge: Earth has crossed multiple planetary boundaries while widespread inequality is causing deep instabilities in societies. There seems to be no way out.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eEarth For All \u003c\/em\u003eis both an antidote to despair and a road map to a better future. Using powerful state-of-the-art computer modeling to explore policies likely to deliver the most good for the majority of people, a leading group of scientists and economists from around the world present five extraordinary turnarounds to achieve prosperity for all within planetary limits in a single generation. Coverage includes:\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cul\u003e\n\u003cli\u003eResults of new global modeling that indicates falling well-being and rising social tensions heighten risk of regional societal collapses\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003eTwo alternative scenarios - Too-Little-Too-Late vs The Giant Leap - and what they mean for our collective future\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003eFive system-shifting steps that can upend poverty and inequality, lift up marginalized people, and transform our food and energy systems by 2050\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003eA clear pathway to reboot our global economic system so it works for all people and the planet.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e\u003cp\u003eWritten in an open, accessible, and inspirational style using clear language and high impact visuals, \u003cem\u003eEarth For All \u003c\/em\u003eis a profound vision for uncertain times and a map to a better future.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eThis survival guide for humanity is required reading for everyone concerned about living well on a fragile planet.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eBOOK AWARDS\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cul\u003e\u003cli\u003eFINALIST | 2022 Foreword INDIES - Ecology \u0026amp; Environment\u003c\/li\u003e\u003c\/ul\u003e","brand":"Gardners","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":56311993532789,"sku":"9780865719866","price":21.99,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0612\/7193\/3106\/files\/9780865719866_b297d835-3a2d-495b-833c-9e787a678930.jpg?v=1786015920"},{"product_id":"9781041080565","title":"Understanding China","description":"\u003cp\u003eThis book offers a long-overdue, balanced, and objective perspective on China's transformation from a constrained economy in the late 1970s to a leading global power in 2024.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Gardners","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":56367936733557,"sku":"9781041080565","price":43.99,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0612\/7193\/3106\/files\/9781041080565.jpg?v=1786017139"}],"url":"https:\/\/backstory.london\/collections\/author-jorgen-randers.oembed","provider":"Backstory","version":"1.0","type":"link"}